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My Simple Long-Term Stock Allocation

Key Points

  • The speaker explains their personal stock allocation — ~70% of monthly savings to VU (a total‑market fund), ~10% to QQQ (NASDAQ‑100), and the remaining 20% split into 5% slices of long‑term holds like Apple and Microsoft.
  • They repeatedly stress that this is **not** financial advice but a personal example used to discuss the broader concept of risk, which they consider a universal concern for anyone in tech regardless of investment size.
  • Because their tech career, family responsibilities, and limited mental bandwidth leave little time for active research, they deliberately choose the “boring” strategy of diversified index funds rather than active trading or speculative moves.
  • The talk challenges the notion that tech expertise provides quick shortcuts to mastering finance, emphasizing that financial fundamentals and risk management have changed little since the 1500s and require a long‑term, disciplined approach.

Full Transcript

# My Simple Long-Term Stock Allocation **Source:** [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8itRVojO84c](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8itRVojO84c) **Duration:** 00:07:28 ## Summary - The speaker explains their personal stock allocation — ~70% of monthly savings to VU (a total‑market fund), ~10% to QQQ (NASDAQ‑100), and the remaining 20% split into 5% slices of long‑term holds like Apple and Microsoft. - They repeatedly stress that this is **not** financial advice but a personal example used to discuss the broader concept of risk, which they consider a universal concern for anyone in tech regardless of investment size. - Because their tech career, family responsibilities, and limited mental bandwidth leave little time for active research, they deliberately choose the “boring” strategy of diversified index funds rather than active trading or speculative moves. - The talk challenges the notion that tech expertise provides quick shortcuts to mastering finance, emphasizing that financial fundamentals and risk management have changed little since the 1500s and require a long‑term, disciplined approach. ## Sections - [00:00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8itRVojO84c&t=0s) **Simple Stock Allocation Strategy** - The speaker outlines a personal, low‑risk investment plan—70% S&P 500 ETF, 10% QQQ, and the rest split in 5% portions among long‑term tech giants like Apple and Microsoft—while stressing that it’s not financial advice but a discussion on risk. ## Full Transcript
0:01all right thanks to a long-standing 0:02request I am actually going to answer a 0:04question that I did not think I was 0:06going to answer for a long time I going 0:09to tell you guys how I allocate my 0:13stocks in other words when I have cash 0:16where do I put it what stocks do I buy 0:19not because this is financial advice I 0:22underline that three times please 0:24underline it in red pen if you're taking 0:26notes that's not what this is for it's 0:29used as a v I'm telling you this is a 0:31vehicle to talk about risk because I 0:35think we in Tech misunderstand risk for 0:37some pretty basic reasons and it's 0:38important for our careers regardless of 0:41the investment piece I don't care if you 0:42have 10 bucks to invest or 100 bucks or 0:45a th000 bucks or a million bucks the 0:47risk piece is 0:50relevant so let's get what I would 0:53consider the boring stuff out of the way 0:55first this is how I invest I invest 1:00as a ordinary monthly investment trunch 1:0670% of the amount I can set aside into 1:10Vu 10% into 1:14QQQ and the remaining in 5% increments 1:17into a couple of stocks that I think I 1:19would be willing to hold for the next 20 1:21or 30 years stocks like apple or 1:25Microsoft and that's it there's nothing 1:29else fancier 1:30here the whole thing is just mostly buy 1:33index 1:35funds and I say that and not even in 1:39Tech like yes I know Vu is exposed to 1:42Tech because the S&P 500 is exposed to 1:44Tech so I get it 1:47but 1:49fundamentally it is the most boring 1:53choice I can make or think about making 1:55pretty much for investment and that was 1:58important to me and it's important 1:59important to me because my life is 2:01exciting in so many other ways I have 2:04kids that are growing I have a family I 2:06also have a Tech Career that is very 2:09demanding full-time job totally focused 2:12on making sure that I am able to deliver 2:16for my company my team make the products 2:19go that I need to go uh from a launch 2:21perspective and at the end of the day 2:24that does not leave me with a lot of 2:25spare brain power I don't have a lot of 2:27time to research yes I have been a 2:29certified tier 2 options Trader yes I've 2:32done day trading yes I've had some wins 2:35that is not a sustainable strategy for 2:38me and I say that not because I think 2:41it's something nobody should do but I do 2:44want to challenge the assumption that 2:46I've seen some people bring in Tech that 2:50you can hack your way to any kind of 2:52literacy quickly even in a subject like 2:55Finance Finance is not particularly sub 2:58subject to the kind of shortcuts that 3:01have enabled software to apply so much 3:03leverage against problems and that have 3:07given a lot of us the opportunities for 3:08careers we wouldn't have 3:10otherwise it just isn't at the end of 3:13the day Finance the fundamental roles of 3:15how you create value and track value and 3:18understand currency hasn't really 3:20changed since about the 3:241500s there were speculative bubbles 3:27back in the 1600s the south sea bubble 3:29you can look it up the Tulip bubble I'm 3:31digressing the point is when I think 3:34about finances I think about being 3:36boring because I think about the 3:37longterm I think about drisking myself 3:40for the long term and that is much more 3:42important to me than a particular 3:44short-term opportunity or missing out on 3:46a potential big upside that has a lot of 3:49risk to it has a lot of volatility to it 3:51and might not be here 3:53tomorrow I would much rather be boring 3:56because my goals are too 3:58important and so I guess I want to ask 4:00you not what advice you would give me 4:03but what advice you would give your 4:05future self if you're coming to your 4:07future self in 20 or 30 years and you're 4:09trying to give them advice on where they 4:11would want to be in life what would you 4:14say just take a minute you want to think 4:16about where that person is going to be 4:17your future self you want to think about 4:20what they will be doing what they will 4:22be needing whether they will still be 4:24working and I say that not to be morbid 4:27but to ask you to consider 4:30where you assess your risk in your life 4:34and to think more deliberately about the 4:37possibility that you might be 4:39overconfident most of the people I know 4:42take this idea of confidence and 4:45leverage that we have to have in 4:46software and we tend to over apply it 4:49I've done this too we tend to over apply 4:52it and we tend to think we know more 4:55than we actually do about a whole lot of 4:57other subjects 5:00and I am really really careful now I've 5:03been burned a few times I'm really 5:05really careful not to assume I know more 5:07than I really do about Finance I would 5:09much rather be boring and perhaps miss 5:12out on the optimal stock run but know 5:15that I made a decision that is going to 5:17stick around for the next 20 or 30 years 5:19and I can be consistent with because at 5:22the end of the day it's not really a 5:23game for me it's life I need to get it 5:27right so all of that being said my 5:32challenge to you is to ask yourself 5:34today how am I assessing risk how am I 5:38understanding risk is risk something 5:42that I feel good about measuring and 5:44assessing would people describe me as 5:48overconfident do I really understand 5:50what I'm doing when I get the money I'm 5:52so desperately looking for in Tech 5:54because to be honest that money doesn't 5:57come along very often I've had options 5:58go to zero on 6:00me I assume Equity is worth paper until 6:04proven 6:05otherwise it is much much more useful to 6:08think 6:09of the worst case scenario and plan for 6:13it than it is to be 6:17hopeful and plan for that and find out 6:21you were 6:23wrong the startup might not be worth 6:25that much founding might not work out 6:28founding is a tremendous concentration 6:30of risk I've done it and so none of this 6:33is to discourage you if you want to 6:34found you're going to found I believe me 6:36I know I've been a Founder um 6:41but you need to understand that risk 6:47doesn't go away just because you believe 6:49in 6:51yourself I love self-confidence we need 6:54to have it I've said that several times 6:55in this video but we need to have just 6:58just enough pessimism just enough 7:00cynicism to recognize when we don't know 7:02things and I think Finance is a great 7:03spot for that and that's why when I 7:05decided I would finally answer this 7:07question of hey Nate what stocks you 7:09know do you buy I was like you know what 7:11fine I will tell you how I allocate and 7:15then we're going to talk about risk 7:16because I think there's this assumption 7:18that there's this magic ingredient in 7:19the stock market that brings wealth and 7:22the magic ingredient is inside you and 7:24its consistency that's it